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Another hot summer would be rough on the Keys' coral reefs, warn coral experts in the following article from the May 28 Key West Citizen.  A quote worth bold type: "Outside of the Arctic, there is no place that is feeling impacts of global warming more than the Keys".  (That statement may be arguable, but does anyone in the Keys think that another of global warming's effects, sea-level rise, somehow won't affect them?)  

Coral scientists predict destructive summer months

BY TIMOTHY O'HARA

Citizen Staff

This spring's unusually mild water temperatures and slick-calm days may have been good for divers, but it has Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary Superintendent Billy Causey bracing himself for a severe coral bleaching event this summer.

A mild winter and already balmy sea temperatures, coupled with coral bleaching activity last year, does not bode well for the health of the Keys' coral reefs, which provide habitat for fish, a buffer from hurricane-induced waves, and millions of dollars a year in taxable income from diving, fishing and other tourism-related activities.

Bleaching occurs when corals are stressed and lose their symbiotic algae, called zooxanthellae. Corals can survive bleaching, but it makes it more susceptible to other problems. Coral diseases, careless divers tromping on reefs, pollution and other sources of stress can stymie coral's ability to recover. Bleaching episodes have become more severe and more frequent in the past few decades, scientists say.

Causey believes the Keys' reef tract dodged a bullet last year, as late-season hurricanes cooled down and circulated water around stressed corals that began to bleach last summer. Coral colonies in the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico did not do as well. Since early October, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has issued severe bleaching alerts for Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.

Bleaching is both widespread and intense, with colonies representing 42 species completely white in many reefs in Puerto Rico. Surveys show 85 to 95 percent of coral colonies were bleached in some reef areas. Reefs in Grenada are bleached, with 70 percent of coral colonies suffering some impact, NOAA officials said.

The Keys are coming off a mild winter and weeks of clear skies and dry days. Sea temperatures have ranged between 78 to 82 degrees along various parts of the reef.

"I am really concerned," Causey said. "We are on the verge of a mass bleaching event."

Causey fears an event similar to ones in 1997 and 1998. Keys coral reefs saw the largest coverage declines from 1996 to 1998, with damage done by back-to-back bleaching events in those years and during Hurricane Georges in 1998. Coral decline since has slowed dramatically, but there has not been much recovery, Causey said. Similar two-year weather patterns began in 2005 and have carried forward in 2006.

Rising sea temperatures and elevation, coral bleaching and coral disease have some calling for the government to enact laws and plans to counteract global warming. The National Wildlife Federation has called on both the federal and state government to come up with a climate plan that addresses lowering carbon dioxide and other greenhouse-gas emissions.

"Outside of the Arctic, there is no place that is feeling impacts of global warming more than the Keys," said Jerry Karnas, an outreach coordinator with the National Wildlife Federation. "Florida is the fifth biggest producer of carbon dioxide ... Corals are already being stressed and global warming is acting like adding steroids."

Karnas and Causey, who say the reef is an "indicator species" of the overall health of the ocean, called the ecosystem a "canary in the coal mine."

"Changes are taking place all over, and we are seeing elevated sea temperatures on a global scale," Causey said. "What is happening is intense bleaching for longer periods of time."

The Florida Keys reef lost 37 percent of its stony coral cover since 1996, according to an annual survey of the reef. A study by University of Georgia scientists said 27 percent of reefs worldwide have been lost, with another 16 percent at serious risk of loss. Elkhorn and staghorn coral, the dominant shallow-water reef builders, have been among the hardest hit with losses recorded as high as 80 percent throughout the Caribbean. In the Keys, more than 90 percent has been wiped out since the 1970s, scientists say.

Some of the Keys' more pristine reefs, Looe Key and Molasses Reef, did suffer some bleaching last year, but recovered, said Cory Walter, who administers the Bleach Watch for Mote Marine Laboratory on Summerland Key. Some reefs closer to shore, Cheeca Rocks and Newfound Harbor near Little Palm Island, suffered more extreme cases.

"It [water temperature] is going up pretty quick and we want to get out ahead of it," Walter said.

The sanctuary and Mote Marine created Bleach Watch last summer to monitor events before, during and after outbreaks. Volunteer divers conduct field observations to monitor coral bleaching. Sanctuary and NOAA scientists will analyze satellite and monitoring data and issue current bleaching condition reports throughout the summer.

Walter will hold a seminar on the Bleach Watch program at 6:30 p.m. June 6 at the Key Largo Library and at 6:30 p.m. June 7 at the Marathon Library. She also plans to hold a seminar in Key West, but a date has not been set. The seminars are open to the public. For more information, contact Walter at 305-745-2729, ext. 301, or check out Mote's coral bleaching Web page at:

http://isurus.mote.org/Keys/bleaching.phtml

tohara@keysnews.com

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