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Last Stand could not agree more with this September 26 Key West Citizen editorial.  We opposed the shell game the County Commission recently played with hurricane evacuation.  One day a real hurricane threat will come along, and we will discover that Mama Nature does not always give us the luxury of the pre-evacuation evacuation of tourists the new plan depends on always being able to pull off.  Taking 2 or 3 days to evacuate does not mean that evacuation takes only 24 hours, no matter how you slice it.

New evacuation plan increases public's risk

Florida Keys residents, for the most part, have turned off CNN and the Weather Channel, unshuttered their homes and returned lawn furniture and potted plants to customary spots on decks and patios. Our brush with Hurricane Rita left the county with minimal damage from high water, mostly restricted to an Upper Keys trailer park and a low-lying area of Key West.

Our collective luck — bolstered by fickle meteorological forces, prayers offered at Key West's Grotto of local hurricane lore, or simply optimism — has held. But not all is unchanged.

Rita's older sister Katrina, which devastated the Gulf coast, revealed fatal flaws — literally — in government's response to natural disasters. But agencies at all levels appear to have learned from those mistakes. Less than a month later, with Rita bearing down on the Keys, we saw changes in emergency planning and response.

One notable change was the evacuation by bus of people who lacked other means to leave — the buses made stops at fire stations throughout the county, taking evacuees to the county's mainland hurricane shelter at Florida International University.

The state positioned hundreds of National Guard troops in Homestead, poised to help local police and other emergency workers in the event the storm dealt a disabling blow to the Keys.

Gov. Jeb Bush moved quickly to order the evacuation of the Keys, bruising a few local egos but demonstrating the state was looking out for the safety of local residents.

The encounter with Rita was not without glitches. Management of the Upper Keys' only nursing home was unprepared for an evacuation. State Agency for Health Care Administration Secretary Allen Levine personally got on the phone to hospitals and nursing homes to find available beds for residents.

And discussions are ongoing to resolve an issue with emergency medical care during storms — a critical issue we are confident will be resolved.

Emergency planners in the Keys, faced with challenging geography and demographics, have routinely done a good job of coordinating evacuations. Perhaps it's because they do it so often. Nonetheless, we were impressed that both state and local governments quickly applied lessons learned from the Gulf coast catastrophe.

County commissioners, though, appear to be tugging in the wrong direction. With hurricanes Rita and Katrina still dominating national news, and the images of massive Texas traffic jams and stranded motorists fresh in memory, the Monroe County Commission voted last week to approve changes to the county's evacuation plan that will increase the risk of a local evacuation catastrophe.

The changes serve to push the county's staged evacuation beyond our 24-hour requirement by evacuating visitors and special-needs groups earlier. It looks good on paper, but the presumption that there will be adequate time for such staging is a dangerous one.

Did the commission forget Hurricane Katrina's unexpected southerly turn, which caught most Keys residents off guard in the middle of the night? Did commissioners not notice that Hurricane Rita grew from a tropical storm to a Category 4 hurricane in 24 hours? That it grew from a Category 3 to the third-strongest storm on record in 24 hours?

The actuality, the changes have more to do with development than hurricanes. Because development restrictions hinge on the ability to evacuate the Keys in 24 hours, the changes open up the Keys to increased development — no one seems to know exactly how much. The new plan could increase by thousands the number of people on U.S. 1 during an evacuation. (Let's not forget that redevelopment of Keys motel rooms and mobile homes as resort units larger than many single-family homes also is swelling that number in a way that remains below the growth management radar screens.)

The commission's changes to the evacuation plan are not in the interest of public safety. Not even the Monroe County Commission can fool Mother Nature.

With the heightened sensitivity to disaster response resulting from Rita and Katrina, we're hopeful the state will take measures to convince the commission that the changes are a bad idea.

— The Citizen

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