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At the final meeting of the Hurricane Evacuation Clearance Working Group, Florida DCA said they're not ready to release details on how many additional permits they anticipate giving the Keys for shuffling evacuation numbers.  **Any** number of additional permits is too many, as adopting the "staged evacuation", which we've used for about two decades (even DCA acknowledges that), results in no real gain in evacuation time.  Sorry folks, but evacuating tourists starting at 48 hours does NOT reduce evacuation time to under 24 hours.  Fact is that evacuation time is right at the required 24 hours presently, and DCA should be halting growth, not hinting at allowing increased growth.

DCA announced that there will be a Phase Two of the Working Group.  Stay tuned.  The 1/28 meeting is reported in the following article from the January 29 Key West Citizen:

More work needed on evacuation plan

DCA: It's too early to talk about more development

BY LAURIE KARNATZ

Citizen Staff

The main question on the minds of Florida Keys environmentalists and proponents of affordable housing — how many new building permits will the Keys receive based on hurricane evacuation improvements — remained unanswered Friday.

State officials, who created the Monroe County Hurricane Evacuation Working Group, had promised at the group's December meeting to answer that question today.

Instead, state Department of Community Affairs planning administrator Jim Quinn asked the group, comprised of officials from the county and Keys' cities, to go back to their respective boards and get permission to begin "phase two" of the effort to reduce evacuation time in the Keys.

Quinn said the request came from DCA Secretary Thaddeus Cohen.

The group was created last year by the DCA, and was first convened in September. It was charged with analyzing hurricane evacuation in the Keys and developing strategies to reduce the time it takes to evacuate the island chain before a storm.

State officials in December estimated between 1,000 and 2,000 new permits would be available for residential construction if the county and Keys cities agreed to adopt so-called "phased evacuation" as part of their land-use plans.

Since that meeting, the county and all Keys city boards have unanimously adopted the requested addition to their land-use plans. And since then, there has been much speculation about the actual number of new permits that could result from the change. Some have estimated the number as high as 14,000. That number is based on an additional 2,000 permits for each hour saved during an evacuation by using the phased evacuation plan.

On Friday, Quinn said no realistic discussion of additional permits could take place until consensus is reached between the various governmental bodies on the operational issues of staged hurricane evacuation. That's where phase two comes in.

In addition, Quinn said equity must be achieved in the method used by each government for calculating a building unit. Currently, local governments use different methods to calculate building units based on their use. For instance, transient units and workforce housing units are calculated differently from city to city.

Once those issues are resolved, his agency can further consider additional permit allocations for the county and its cities.

Affordable housing proponents and the Key West Chamber of Commerce have asked that all additional permits ultimately approved for the county be limited to workforce housing.

At the same time, many Keys' civic leaders and environmentalists claim the proposal to allow more permits by using phased evacuation is a shell game that should be separate from affordable housing issues.

The county has been using a phased evacuation plan for 20 years, said Cudjoe Key resident Dennis Henize, a former National Weather Service meteorologist.

And the county in 2000 adopted a plan to work with tourism officials to promote early evacuation of visitors as a storm approaches. That, too, is part of the phased evacuation plan.

Said Marathon councilman Randy Mearns, "I think you'll find a lot of what we did is already in place. We didn't reinvent the wheel."

DCA staff, too, admitted that the phased evacuation plan "actually reflects what's already in place."

That, said several speakers at the Friday meeting, makes the issue of additional building permits moot.

"You haven't accomplished anything," said Tavernier resident John Hammerstrom. "We do phased evacuation today."

But entrepreneur Ed Swift said it was the environmentalists who are manipulating evacuation models to control growth. He suggested building shelters, particularly in Key West and the Lower Keys, would be a safe alternative to evacuation. It also would reduce evacuation clearance times, allowing more permits for workforce housing.

Other issues addressed at the Friday meeting included:

* Unbridled growth in south Miami-Dade County. Keys elected officials and residents urged Quinn to enlist the help of state agencies and Miami-Dade County to ensure evacuees from the Keys don't end up trapped in mainland traffic jams as a hurricane approaches.

Keys officials also questioned the safety of sending Keys residents to the mainland, where they could find themselves facing a shortage of gasoline and shelter. That was brought to the fore in recent months because thousands of Floridians fleeing four different hurricanes last season found themselves unable to fill their gas tanks or find space in already full hotels.

As an alternative, Key West and Monroe County officials asked for serious consideration — and help — in building shelters in the Lower Keys to take care of thousands of residents.

* Evacuation of the Keys homeless population. The group unanimously agreed that the Florida Keys Homeless Coalition should address that issue. It was recommended the group work with emergency management staff to develop a plan for taking care of the homeless when a storm approaches.

lkarnatz@keysnews.com

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