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Some local signs of global warming are reported in this April 11 Key West Citizen article:

Signs of global warming noticeable in Keys

By Ben Iannotta

Finally, it's starting to look and feel like springtime in the Keys. The tarpon are rolling predictably each morning in the backcountry channels, and soon — maybe today — they'll grace the shallows in better numbers.

Permit have been all over the Atlantic flats, most interestingly east of Key West where one expects to see fewer of them. They're fattening up on crabs before gathering offshore to spawn.

As if to confirm that we've turned the corner toward summer, the sun is starting to burn a soft, spring-time haze over the backcountry.

It's not just the fish that are reacting to the weather. A white-crowned pigeon scooted low over the mangroves the other day. Within weeks, flocks of them will be gobbling up the sea grapes that are just now budding in the Keys. Broad-winged hawks, like the one that swooped down to attack a giant centipede, will soon head north.

All appears to be well in the wild side of the Florida Keys; a place only a soulless fellow could summarize as an "ecosystem," and only a hermit could argue doesn't have a "change of seasons."

Now, if you're the type who doesn't like biologists and newspaper writers stepping on your natural buzz, please stop reading.

John Weishampel, a forest ecologist turned sea turtle scientist at the University of Central Florida, reported last week that loggerhead turtles on Florida's Atlantic coast are laying eggs 10 days earlier on average than they did 15 years ago.

Over the same years, the average nearshore water temperatures climbed by about 1.5 degrees Fahrenheit. A coincidence? Only a fossil-fuel lobbyist would think so.

Weishampel and biology professor Llew Ehrhart and researcher Dean Bagley worked with UCF students to analyze nesting records for a 25-mile stretch of Florida beach from Patrick Air Force Base south to Sebastian Inlet.

That area accounts for one in four of all loggerhead nests in the United States. Many of the loggerheads seen each summer in the Keys are turtles that laid eggs in April and May in the sands of the mainland, Weishampel says.

The finding that global warming is causing one of Florida's most famous sea animals to change the timing of its reproduction is huge. "This is the first time, to my knowledge, that this has been found in subtropical creatures," Weishampel says.

So, maybe you don't think loggerheads are all that cute and you really don't care when they lay their eggs. The finding should matter to you because loggerheads almost surely are not the only subtropical creatures that are responding to global warming this way.

We've learned this first about loggerheads because they have an adoring and scientifically minded fan club. It helps that sea turtle reproduction is relatively easy to study because they conveniently crawl ashore to dig nests.

The last time I checked, no one had ever scientifically documented a tarpon spawning, let alone accumulate a 15-year record of the precise timing of the event.

The bottom line is that what might appear to anglers as a wonderfully normal spring season could actually disguise changing reproduction patterns for permit, tarpon and their food sources.

Why does it matter when creatures change their reproduction timing by a few days over a decade and a half?

"I kind of think of it like a symphony," Weishampel says. "The animals are the instruments. If they're not coming in at the right time, you've got a screwed up concert."

Those sea turtle hatchlings will need to eat tiny crabs and shrimp when they crawl out to sea, but if the crabs and shrimp aren't reacting the same way to global warming the turtles could be left without enough food, Weishampel warns.

Even worse, the sex of a sea turtle hatchling is determined by the temperature of the sand in which it developed. If mama sea turtles can't find sand of the right temperatures, they won't be able to ensure a proper ratio of males and females in the population, Weishampel says.

Global warming is obviously a long-term problem. But there are some things that can be done in the short-term. In the case of sea turtles, the finding could mean that regulators should change the timing of temporary bans on beach lighting, which confuses nesting turtles, and driving on the beach, which needs no explanation.

Who knows what opportunities we're missing to protect sport fish because we just don't know? That's something to sober you up.

biannotta@aol.com

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