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The new city of 18,000 or so proposed near Florida City would severely impact the Keys in several ways.  The main chokepoint in hurricane evacuation is at Florida City, where US1 hits the mainland.  Population there has already boomed since Hurricane Andrew (1992).  Officialdom apparently hasn't figured that out yet, since the recent state/county agreement assumes all's well with hurricane evacuation.  And imagine how many more day-trippers could clog Key Largo if the new city is built.  This editorial from the March 28 Key West Citizen:

South Miami development threatens evacuations

The Florida Keys is the most tightly regulated area in the state of Florida, when it comes to growth management.

That's true if you are pleased with the deal recently worked out between Monroe County and the state of Florida. Or if you think it failed to protect our besieged natural resources. Or if you think it is far too restrictive.

The truth is, the Keys are limited to a few hundred new homes per year, and in return will receive more than $100 million in state money for buying natural lands and improving water quality. Meanwhile, the county alone has promised to come up with another $200 million for water quality in the next three years.

All this did not happen spontaneously. It happened because the state of Florida, for 30 years now, through Republican and Democratic administrations in Tallahassee, has expressed its strong belief that the Keys is one of Florida's most special and fragile places. As an Area of Critical State Concern, the county is under state scrutiny like few other places.

It was a shock, then, to learn of plans proceeding full steam ahead in South Miami-Dade County to create a massive new development just to our north. With 6,000 dwelling units plus two schools, 240 hotel rooms and almost 400,000 square feet of shops, this is essentially a small city.

The problems with this proposal, put forward by the developer Atlantic Civil, are legion. First in our minds of course is hurricane evacuation. The policy of Monroe County (again under strong pressure from state government) is complete evacuation when any storm of Category of 3 or higher threatens us. Already people are terrified of making the long drive out of the Keys only to find themselves on logjammed roads on the mainland.

The prospect of tens of thousands of additional people right at the point where our two evacuation routes merge on the mainland is untenable. And it is outrageous that as we in the Keys are wrestling with the shape of an improved 18-Mile Stretch and the location of our relatively meager supply of new building permits, that the state would even contemplate allowing such a destructive development right outside our door.

Monroe County Mayor Murray Nelson has expressed his concern that the longterm deal to protect the Keys, painstakingly worked out with the state, could be "obliterated by what is going on in Miami-Dade County." He's right. Such a massive development is harmful enough on its own, but when you add the inevitable sprawl that would metastasize around it, it gets far worse.

The Monroe County Commission should condemn this proposal in the strongest possible terms and demand that the state start backing up its tough stance in the Keys with similar measures for South Miami-Dade. For better or for worse, our fate is linked with theirs and we should start acting like it.

Another major problem with the proposal is that it lies in the footprint of the Biscayne Bay coastal wetlands project, a component of the $8 billion Everglades restoration plan. Encouraging or facilitating new sprawl in areas that are desperately needed to help heal South Florida's wounded ecosystem is insane and turns all of the exalted language about Everglades restoration into a joke.

The Miami-Dade County Commission and the South Florida Water Management District already allowed one project to go through in South Dade on land needed for an Everglades project. They need to stop this one immediately and purchase the land if necessary to stop precedents that have the potential to destroy Everglades restoration.

Our neighbors in Florida City argue that they need this development for their economic health, which never rebounded after Hurricane Andrew and the closure of the Homestead Air Force Base. Instead, they should look to their fortunate location between two spectacular national parks — Everglades and Biscayne Bay — and put their efforts into the promise of a restored ecosystem instead of contributing to its destruction.

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