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This editorial from the May 18 Key West Citizen nails it on the head: the proposal to redefine hurricane evacuation by shuffling numbers is a sham and a scam.

County should reject storm evacuation sham

The Monroe County Commission is poised to embrace a new level of cynicism by adopting a paper solution — a numerical sleight-of-hand that almost all acknowledge to be a sham — to a problem with life or death consequences.

The Florida Department of Community Affairs, through the Monroe County Hurricane Evacuation Working Group, has directed the county and municipalities to amend their comprehensive land-use plans to include phased hurricane evacuation procedures already in use by local emergency managers.

The County Commission will consider this directive at 5 p.m. today at the Key Largo Library.

According to DCA officials, the model used by the state to predict how long a mandatory evacuation of the Keys would take presumes that 45 percent of Keys tourists will ignore early evacuation calls and remain on the islands, thus clogging the Overseas Highway and making the residents' evacuation process take more than 24 hours.

Exceeding that 24-hour clearance time, however, poses a problem for future development. Since 1992, new residential construction in the Keys has been limited based on a state requirement that evacuation not take more than 24 hours. Surpass that limit and new building permits are supposed to come to a halt.

But, as proposed by DCA officials, if the county were to merely write the phased evacuation procedure into its land-use plan, then the state would be willing to presume that 100 percent of tourists would heed evacuation calls and exit the islands prior to a full-scale resident evacuation.

That change, at least on paper, would reduce the overall resident evacuation time to below 24 hours and ensure that thousands of new building permits could be issued by the state.

But shuffling numbers does not in reality improve public safety. Advocating such "creative accounting" to allow further development when models indicate that the 24-hour threshold as been surpassed exposes the mindset of our state growth management officials. Apparently, they have no qualms about making public safety secondary to growth.

Despite being called "a ruse" by County Commissioner George Neugent, a threat to public safety by Senior Emergency Management Director Billy Wagner and "preposterous" by Planning Commissioner Jiulio Margalli, the proposed changes cleared the first hurdle last week by a 3-2 vote of the county Planning Commission.

Even Chairman Lynn Mapes acknowledged, before voting to support the proposal, that it was about allowing new development rather than improving hurricane safety.

The planning board stipulated that any additional building permits made possible by the changes be limited to workforce housing, an effort to apply a little rationality to a farce.

But why are we going along with such foolishness? The county is required by the state to develop strategies to reduce actual — repeat, actual — hurricane clearance times and reduce potential loss of life. Paper solutions merely enable one to claim improvement when nothing at all has been accomplished.

While fretting over the security of future construction, the DCA and the local working group have wasted precious time by failing to provide for our security. Still unresolved are problems exposed during last hurricane season's partial and full evacuations, such as the transport and out-of-county care options for the elderly and infirm, regional evacuation coordination and unchecked development in south Miami-Dade County.

What do we have to lose if we reject DCA's directive? Will new construction come to a screeching halt if we do not comply? That would appear highly unlikely given the willingness already shown by state officials to prioritize development over public safety. And what do we have to gain? Perhaps a second chance to pursue actual policy that might save lives.

While addressing our shortage of worker housing is critical to our long-term economic health, the county should not allow itself to be strong-armed into supporting a ruse at best, and a threat to public safety at worst.

— The Citizen

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